Welcome to NUSAP net
  

Robust knowledge for Sustainability

Tutorials
· Post Normal Science
· NUSAP
· Participatory IA
· Sensitivity Analysis
· GLUE
· Expert elicitation
· Uncertainty Communication
· Pluralistic uncert. management
· Glossary


Sections
· Reports, papers, ...
· RIVM/MNP Uncertainty Guidance
· Model quality checklist
· Interactive tools
· Pedigree matrices


Related websites
· Post Normal Times
· The Integrated Assessment Society
· Precautionary Principle
· Renewable Energy Master


Main Menu
· Home
· Reviews
· Web Links
· Downloads
· Your Account
· Top 10

Other Options
· Members List


  
Pedigree Matrix for Observational Uncertainty Analysis

(8842 reads)   Printer Friendly Page

Pedigree Matrix for Observational Uncertainty Analysis (Ellis et al., 2000a, 200b).

Score

Statistical quality

Empirical quality

Methodological quality

4

Excellent fit to a well-known statistical model (Normal, Lognormal, Binomial etc.) Controlled experiments & large sample direct measurements (n > 50). Approved standard in well-established discipline.

3

Good fit to a reliable statistical model by most fitting tests, but not all Historical/field data, uncontrolled experiments, small sample direct measurements (n < 50) Reliable method, common within discipline

2

Fitting tests not significant, model not clearly related to data, or model inferred from similar data Modeled data, indirect measurements, handbook estimates Acceptable method, but limited consensus on reliability

1

No statistical tests or fitting, subjective model Educated guesses, very indirect approximations, "rule of thumb" estimates Unproven methods, questionable reliability

0

Ignorance model (Uniform) Pure guesses Purely subjective method

Ellis, E.C., R.G. Li, L.Z. Yang, X. Cheng, Long-term change in village-scale ecosystems in China using landscape and statistical methods. Ecological Applications, 10 (4), 2000a, pp. 1057-1073.

Ellis, E.C., R.G. Li, L.Z. Yang, X. Cheng, Changes in Village-scale nitrogen storage in China's Tai Lake region. Ecological Applications, 10 (4), 2000b, pp. 1074-1096.

  

[ Back to Pedigree matrices | Sections Index ]

nusap.net