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Special Announcement: “Post Normal Science – perspectives & prospectives”
On the occasion of the 80th birthday of Jerry Ravetz, a reflective workshop will be held 26-27th June 2009 in Oxford.
Visit the workshop website for more information. |
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Robust knowledge for Sustainability
- Policies for sustainability cannot wait until all the facts are known.
- We must plan and implement radical changes in technology and lifestyle, in spite of irreducible uncertainty, ignorance, and value-conflicts.
- The commitment of all of civil society is necessary for such changes to be accomplished; thus sustainability is a moral issue.
- The relevant knowledge base must be robust in relation to the constraints and demands of this new context of use.
- It must be designed to be fit for its various functions in the discursive, inclusive policy processes on complex issues that are essential for
consensus.
- All stakeholders (including those who produce, use and are affected by policy-relevant knowledge) should be equipped with tools for a critical self-awareness of their engagement with that knowledge.
- These are now being created by developments based on the insights of NUSAP and Post-Normal Science.
- In that way we will achieve the robust knowledge that is essential for sustainability.
Jerry Ravetz, 14-08-2002
This website is maintained by Jeroen van der Sluijs (editor-in-chief, Copernicus Institute for Sustainable Development and Innovation, e-mail: j.p.vandersluijs@chem.uu.nl), Silvio Funtowicz, Jerry Ravetz, Serafin Corral Quintana, James Risbey and Ângela Guimaraes Pereira.
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Book launch: Science for Policy
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NUSAP used in undergraduate science education at Aalborg University
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| Posted by Jeroen on Tuesday, October 13 2009 @ 14:45:51 CEST (611 reads) |
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A group of students from Aalborg University applied the NUSAP approach to the risk of methane migration into houses situated on the terminated landfill “Skrænten” in Hjørring, Denmark”. The team consists of Marie Inger Dam, Jon Kjær Jensen, Jóhann Gunnar Jónsson, Mathias Krause Kristensen, Ane Katrine Mortensen, Ole Papsø, Mette Skovmand and Tom Børsen. Their report "Inclusion of Pedigree-analysis (NUSAP) in undergraduate science education: An example" is now available. It may serve as an example and source of inspiration for other students and professors who would like to use NUSAP in BSc and MSc education. |
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New Report: Tool catalogue frame-based information tools
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| Posted by Jeroen on Friday, May 29 2009 @ 12:33:08 CEST (1405 reads) |
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A new report Tool catalogue frame-based information tools has been published.
In the perception, knowledge production and policymaking on complex issues (‘wicked
problems’), such as climate change, frames and framing play an important but often hidden
role. Frames relate to one’s ‘schemas of interpretation’; the conceptual images, values,
starting points, and mental models that one may have of an issue. This can include, for
instance, one’s problem definition, perceptions of the cause-effect relationships in an issue,
one’s primary goals, perception of one’s and others’ roles and responsibilities relating to the
issue, and views on suitable strategies and interaction with (other) stakeholders
Differences in frames can lead to miscommunication and conflicts.
This tool catalogue is intended as an idea-guide and eye-opener for organisations who are
confronted with framing-related issues and who want to take these into account when
developing knowledge, policy, or viewpoints.
The catalogue does not aim to give a complete list of methods. Rather, it will present
a number of characteristic examples of how various tools deal with framing. Some
suggestions will be given on the situations for which these approaches are most suitable. For
more extensive overviews of participatory methods, refer to the various stakeholder
participation guidelines and catalogues that are available (several references have been
included in the present document).
Download Tool catalogue frame-based information tools
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Recent journal articles on Post Normal Science and Uncertainty
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| Posted by Jeroen on Friday, May 29 2009 @ 11:53:22 CEST (1383 reads) |
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An overview of recent papers in the field of Post Normal Science
- Knol et al., 2009 Dealing with uncertainties: The case of environmental burden of disease assessment Environmental Health 8:21
- Turnpenny et al. 2009, Noisy and definitely not normal: responding to wicked issues in the environment, energy and health Environmental Science and Policy 12 (3), pp. 347-358.
- Boone et al., 2009, NUSAP method for evaluating the data quality in a quantitative microbial risk assessment model for salmonella in the pork production chain Risk Analysis 29 (4), pp. 502-517
- Van der Sluijs et al., 2008, Exploring the quality of evidence for complex and contested policy decisions, Environ. Res. Lett. 3 (2008) 024008 (9pp)
- Wardekker et al., 2008 Uncertainty Communication in Environmental Assessments: Views from the Dutch Science-Policy interface Environmental Science & Policy, 11, 627-641
- Farrell, 2008, The Politics of Science and Sustainable Development:
Marcuse’s New Science in the 21st Century Capitalism Nature Socialism, 19 (4), 68-83.
- Maxim and Van der Sluijs, 2007, Uncertainty: cause or effect of stakeholders' debates? Analysis of a case study: the risk for honey bees of the insecticide Gaucho® Science of the Total Environment, 376, 1-17.
- Refsgaard et al., 2007, Uncertainty in the Environmental Modelling Process: A Review Environmental Modelling & Software. 22 (11), 1543-1556.
- Kloprogge and Van der Sluijs, 2006, The inclusion of stakeholder knowledge and perspectives in integrated assessment of climate change Climatic Change, 75 (3) 359-389
- Risbey et al., 2005, Application of a Checklist for Quality Assistance in Environmental Modelling to an Energy Model. Environmental Modeling & Assessment 10 (1), 63-79.
- Van der Sluijs et al., 2005 Combining Quantitative and Qualitative Measures of Uncertainty in Model based Environmental Assessment: the NUSAP System, Risk Analysis, 25 (2). p. 481-492
- Van der Sluijs 2005, Uncertainty as a monster in the science policy interface: four coping strategies, Water science and technology, 52 (6) 87–92
- Janssen et al, 2005, A guidance for assessing and communicating uncertainties, Water science and technology, 52 (6) 125–131
- Craye et al, 2005 A reflexive approach to dealing with uncertainties in environmental health risk science and policy International Journal for Risk Assessment and Management, 5 (2), p. 216-236
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Expert Elicitation: Methodological suggestions
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| Posted by Jeroen on Thursday, January 22 2009 @ 15:21:00 CET (2141 reads) |
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A new report Expert Elicitation: Methodological suggestions for
its use in environmental health impact assessments has been published. It provides practical guidance on organising expert panels to assess uncertainty and risk.
Download Expert Elicitation report
This document contains three parts: (1) an introduction, (2) an overview with building blocks
and methodological suggestions for a formal expert elicitation procedure; and (3) a literature
list with key sources of information used and suggestions for further reading. |
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Uncertainty Communication: Issues and good practice.
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| Posted by Jeroen on Wednesday, January 09 2008 @ 10:58:19 CET (3942 reads) |
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A practical guide to uncertainty communication has been developed for the Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency. It offers background information on uncertainty communication, and contains suggestions and guidance on how to communicate uncertainties in environmental assessment reports to several target audiences in an adequate, clear, and systematic way. It is not claimed that this is the only way or the best way to communicate uncertainty information, but the guidance in this report draws upon insights from the literature, insights from an international expert workshop on uncertainty communication, and several uncertainty communication experiments in the Utrecht Policy Laboratory. |
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New report on uncertainty and climate change adaptation
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| Posted by Jeroen on Friday, December 21 2007 @ 15:34:19 CET (4517 reads) |
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Copernicus Institute Utrecht University and Tyndall Centre for climate change research issued a new report reviewing state-of-the-art of methods and tools available in the literature in helping
inform adaptation decisions under uncertainty. The report reviews existing frameworks for decision making under uncertainty for
adaptation to climate change. It explores how different ways of including
uncertainty in decision making match with uncertainty information provided by various
uncertainty assessment methods. It reviews a broad range of areas of climate change impacts
and impacted sectors of society and economy that may require a response of planned
adaptation. |
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Towards a new paradigm of science in scientific policy advising
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| Posted by Jeroen on Monday, October 15 2007 @ 12:02:47 CEST (4232 reads) |
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Post Normal Science essay by Eva Kunseler: Towards a new paradigm of science in scientific policy advising.
The prevailing paradigm of science is not suitable for the science policy context with its different perceptions of reality and presence of great scientific uncertainty and ignorance. A paradigm shift is argued by the concept of post-normal science, which emerged from dissatisfaction with knowledge arising from the gap between policy questions and scientific answers. Scientific policy advising in normal and post-normal context exemplify the line of reasoning.
Download Eva Kunseler's essay |
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Post Normal Science, working deliberatively within imperfections
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e-KAM SCHOOL E-Learning Course On Knowledge Assessment & Extended Participation
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| Posted by Jeroen on Monday, July 31 2006 @ 00:48:51 CEST (4808 reads) |
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2-6 October 2006
Course without fees
Limited number of participants
Registration: before 22 September 2006
Contact: e.kam-school@jrc.it
WebSite: http://reforma.fceye.ull.es/ekschool
The e-KAM School will provide courses on knowledge assessment and extended participation, deploying e-learning technology, developed at the University of La Laguna (supported by the EU funded project RE-FORMA (INTERREG III-B Programme).
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Monday, September 26 2005
· Global Systems Failures
Tuesday, July 19 2005
· The Precautionary Principle
Sunday, February 27 2005
· The Post-Normal Times
Friday, February 25 2005
· Interactive Web application of Uncertainty Guidance instruments
Wednesday, October 20 2004
· Uncertainty and Precaution in Environmental Management: insights from UPEM
Wednesday, September 01 2004
· WORLDWIDE VIRTUAL NETWORK OF YOUNG PRACTITIONERS WORKING ON SCIENCE AND SOCIETY
Wednesday, August 25 2004
· Short Course Model Uncertainty Analysis (13-14 October 2004)
Wednesday, July 28 2004
· Summer school on sensitivity analysis in Venice
Wednesday, May 26 2004
· Course: Genetic engineering; Connecting science, risk and communities
Tuesday, April 27 2004
· Uncertainty and Precaution in Environmental Management (UPEM 2004)
Monday, April 26 2004
· New book on sensitivity analysis
Tuesday, March 16 2004
· Uncertainty assessment of NOx, SO2 and NH3 emissions in the Netherlands
Wednesday, March 03 2004
· Safety Paradoxes - revised
· Towards Guidance in Assessing and Communicating Uncertainties
Saturday, November 29 2003
· Professor Poul Harremoës died
Monday, August 04 2003
· Towards a synthesis of qualitative and quantitative uncertainty assessment
Monday, July 21 2003
· Workshop: Interfaces between science and society, 27-28 nov 2003, Milano
Monday, June 23 2003
· RIVM/MNP guidance for uncertainty assessment and communication
Thursday, June 12 2003
· Workshop: Uncertainty in environmental health risk science and policy
Saturday, May 17 2003
· Mini sysmposium: The management of uncertainty in risk science and policy
Tuesday, January 28 2003
· Symposium: Uncertainty and Precaution in Environmental Management (June 2004)
Tuesday, November 05 2002
· Ruskin and the Scientists
Tuesday, October 29 2002
· The Precautionary Principle, Knowledge Uncertainty, and Environmental Assessment
Monday, October 07 2002
· MUST Session at November FP6 conference
Thursday, September 12 2002
· Safety in the Globalising Knowledge Economy
Wednesday, June 19 2002
· One day free course on Sensitivity Analysis at the JRC - Ispra.
Friday, June 07 2002
· Conference announcement: Foresight
· EoI Management of Uncertainty in science for suSTainability sent to Brussels
Tuesday, May 28 2002
· Utrecht University to start Master Sustainable Development
Monday, May 27 2002
· State of affairs FP6 EoI Uncertainty Management
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