U n i v e r s i t y o f V e n i c e
J u n e 12 - 15, 2002
Simulation models are used in many settings and for different purposes.
Knowledge uncertainty, uncertainty in observations, poorly known
physical
parameters, alternative value judgements can impinge on the defensibility of
model-based results. The model X-raying offered by sensitivity analysis is
useful to investigate how these uncertainty sources affect the outcome of
an analysis.
Goal of the summer school is to make the participants aware of the
state-of-the-art methods in sensitivity analysis, to stimulate the flow of
new ideas, and to suggest new research directions. Most of the
methodological advances in the field of sensitivity analysis will be
covered.
Application case studies will cover environmental appraisal and
decision-making, financial risk, performance indicators for integrated
environmental/transportation policy, short-term time series analysis in
econometrics, physics, macro-economy, etc.
Hands-on sessions will use software packages (SIMLAB (JRC), GLUE
(Lancaster
University - JRC), UNICORN (TU Delft), CAPTAIN Matlab Toolbox (CRES,
Lancaster, UK)) to show how sensitivity analysis can be used to supply
transparent pictures of the state-of-quality of model-based results and
can
be beneficial to their defensibility.
Registration forms and program are available at:
http://www.jrc.cec.eu.int/uasa/evt-samo2002.asp
SAMO 2002 is partially funded through the IST program of the DG
Information
Society of the European Commission, KD-net project
For further information please contact:
Stefano Tarantola, Ph.D.
Technological and Economic Risk Management Unit
Institute for the Protection and Security of the Citizen
JRC - Ispra Site
TP361
I-21020 Ispra (VA)
Tel: +39-0332-789928
Sec: +39-0332-789686
Fax: +39-0332-785733
Corporate web-site:
http://ipsc.jrc.cec.eu.int/
The web of the Applied Statistics Sector:
http://www.jrc.cec.eu.int/uasa
Web and forum on sensitivity analysis:
http://sensitivity-analysis.jrc.cec.eu.int/
Summer School 2002 on Sensitivity Analysis
http://www.jrc.cec.eu.int/uasa/evt-samo2002.asp
SIMLAB Ver. 1.1
http://sensitivity-analysis.jrc.cec.eu.int/default2.asp?page=SIMLAB
Anonymous FTP server:
ftp isis-gs.jrc.it